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Customize our 2024 presidential election forecast
How much momentum will RFK Jr.'s endorsement give Trump?
How 538's 2024 presidential election forecast works
How 538 is adjusting our election model for Harris versus Trump
How 538's pollster ratings work
How our polling averages work
Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast
Would Kamala Harris be a stronger candidate than Biden?
What you might've missed at the RNC
Is Nikki Haley the new Ron DeSantis?
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Customize our 2024 presidential election forecast
By Amina Brown, Katie Marriner, Aaron Bycoffe and G. Elliott Morris
Today, 11:15 AM EDT
Story
from 538
Amina Brown, Katie Marriner, Aaron Bycoffe, G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
How much momentum will RFK Jr.'s endorsement give Trump?
By G. Elliott Morris and Mary Radcliffe
August 23, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris, Mary Radcliffe
, ABC News
How 538's 2024 presidential election forecast works
By G. Elliott Morris
August 23, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
How 538 is adjusting our election model for Harris versus Trump
By G. Elliott Morris
August 28, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
How 538's pollster ratings work
By G. Elliott Morris
January 25, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
How our polling averages work
By G. Elliott Morris
October 9, 2023
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast
By G. Elliott Morris
June 11, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
Would Kamala Harris be a stronger candidate than Biden?
By G. Elliott Morris
July 4, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
What you might've missed at the RNC
By Nathaniel Rakich, Monica Potts, Kaleigh Rogers and G. Elliott Morris
July 18, 2024
Story
from 538
Nathaniel Rakich, Monica Potts, Kaleigh Rogers, G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
Is Nikki Haley the new Ron DeSantis?
By Galen Druke, Nathaniel Rakich, Leah Askarinam and G. Elliott Morris
December 5, 2023
Story
from 538
Galen Druke, Nathaniel Rakich, Leah Askarinam, G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
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